Brexit: the next stage. Deal or No Deal? (and the General Election)

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  • Exeter - indeed North Cornwall was a Lib Dem seat until the last election. Dan Rogerson used to be the MP and he's trying to win his seat back.

    IH - I think my swinging days are over....
  • edited June 2017
    Aslef, I think Dan Rogerson could well win his seat back from Steve Mann.
    However, Sheryl Murray is likely to keep her seat in South East Cornwall
  • http://www.whu606.com/discussion/comment/861153/#Comment_861153

    If I wasn't already voting Labour, I definitely would if JC were burying them instead of digging them up ;biggrin
  • edited June 2017
    Exeter - South East Cornwall was a Lib Dem seat 1997 - 2010.

    Not impossible it could be again
  • edited June 2017
    Sorry, but it's Scott Mann, not Steve Mann. ;ok
    Oops, sorry again, just seen that the correction was made already in the above post. ;biggrin
  • bbb

    It is a difficult choice, but personally, in this election, I would vote tactically for Lib-Dem if they were the only candidate capable of offering a challenge in the constituency.
  • edited June 2017
    Tory Stronghold where I am. Last 3 election Tory / UKIP / Tory. Labour 3rd 10k votes behind the Tory and UKIP candidates.
  • spoiling mine. just going to write "Too much Jive Talking" over the ballot.

    I did it, at least someone in the ballot paper will get a laugh.
  • Rochester & Strood. It used to be a marginal and they called it Medway, Tory from 1983 - 1997 then Labour 1997 -2010. Just shows how things can change over the years
  • edited June 2017
    Would have to be a 10k vote swing towards Labour for the seat to change from a roughly 79,000 figure turnout. (don't see it happening) I imagine the rest of the UKIP votes will go back to Conservative to so there will probably be a Conservative boost.
  • Dulwich and West Norwood for me. Safe Labour.

    If only I could vote in my parents' ward: its a marginal Lib Dem/Tory seat. (Currently Lib Dem, but has teetered back and forth).
  • I will be voting, not that it will make any difference, I'm Arundel and South Downs, very large Tory majority.
  • I will be voting, not that it will make any difference, I'm Arundel and South Downs, very large Tory majority.

    Just down the road from me. I feel your pain, I'm in a similar situation.
  • Priti Patel (I'm pretty sure people have had fun with her name) is the incumbent where I'm voting Labour and has a big Tory majority. But maybe, just maybe......
  • Horshamhammer. I live in Wisborough Green, so just on the boundary with Horsham constituency
  • Just reading a comment by a Lib Dem candidate.... 'I’ve spent this morning talking to people who have got questions. Some people are confused with who they are voting for. They come back [from the polling booth] and ask: ‘Why didn’t it say May, Corbyn or Farron on the voting slip?’

    ;nonono ;doh ;puzzled
  • The birthplace of modern democracy...

    The last year has not been the best advert.
  • Christchurch for me which will only ever be conservative

    From Wikipedia

    Christchurch is represented by a single parliamentary constituency in the House of Commons. The seat was created in 1983 from parts of the Christchurch and Lymington, North Dorset and New Forest constituencies. It had been held by Robert Adley (Conservative) since its creation until his death in 1993. At the by-election Diana Maddock (Liberal Democrat) was elected in one of the largest ever swings (35.4%) against the sitting party.[43] The seat was retaken by Conservative candidate Christopher Chope in 1997 and retained in 2001 and 2005. In the 2010 general election, Chope retained his seat with a considerable majority of 15,410 and 56.4% of the vote, making Christchurch one of the safest Conservative constituencies in the country.[
  • Horshamhammer. I live in Wisborough Green, so just on the boundary with Horsham constituency

    A lovely part of the world. TBH doesn't surprise me that that area is very Tory though...
  • The last UK constituency I lived in was Islington North. I can tell you that Jeremy Corbyn is a good MP who cares about his constituency & the country as a whole.I posted my vote for him last week but in real terms will it make any difference?
    The first past the post system is deeply flawed & when the results come in I'll be interested to see what it would look like under proportional representation. The last election UKIP would have got 84 seats & as unpalatable as that is to a lifelong socialist like me,it's fairer.I'm voting out of principle simply because I hate the Tories so much but my vote is going to one of the safest Labour seats of the lot.I want my vote to make a difference like it would with P R. A second choice option would also be welcome & would give parties like the Greens more of a voice.
    Finally,if the system isn't going to change then the other parties need to think about the so called progressive alliance a bit more because in my view the Tories need to be stopped at all costs.
  • When are any actual figures expected?
  • edited June 2017
    http://www.bbc.com/news/election-2017-40173107

    Outline here. According to most sources, the exit polls have been pretty accurate in recent years.


    According to the ES, by 3am(ish) if there's a clear majority winner. Later if it goes closer or is a hung Parliament.
  • My constituency is Hendon. At the 2010 election the Tories got in with a just 100 majority. 2015 they got in again with a 4000 majority. I will be voting Labour, as I have all ways done.
  • Gerrymandering?
  • In 2010 the Labour candidate did question the result because apparently some polling booths closed early.
  • edited June 2017
    Gerry Mandering is not standing in this election.

    Labour actually got 1075 more votes in 2015 than in 2010 but because of a 7.1%/3075 voter increase in the turnout their share was down from 42.1% to 41.5%

    On the plus side there have been reports of people queuing to vote so it sounds like we're going to get a high turnout. When I voted the staff were having to explain to an EU citizen (not sure from where exactly) that he wasn't eligible to vote.
  • ;lol

    I have been reading of UK citizens elsewhere in the EU eligible to vote but prevented by various snafus ;angry

    Really hoping I'm not one of them... still waiting to hear from my proxy that it all went ok.
  • edited June 2017

    G When I voted the staff were having to explain to an EU citizen (not sure from where exactly) that he wasn't eligible to vote.

    Interesting, this, as I have just read on the Guradian about naturalised/dual citizens being turned away even though they really are entitled to vote.

    Let me see if I can copy and paste the story...

    ---

    [The voter who had been refused] had tried calling the Electoral Commission, with no success.Then someone at the polling station [an official?] called a number and was told that [she] was ineligible to vote as a Polish citizen. "Well, wasn’t I glad to whip out my British passport and wave it in her face. And then whoever was at the end of the line started crumbling. Oh, it’s a clerical error they say. She is indeed a UK citizen. So what do I do? asked the nice [official at the polling station]. ‘Give her a ballot and mark a clerical error in your register’ they said.

    So that was that. They said at the station that there had been four other people who were refused the ballot there despite being apparently naturalised and registered, but they didn’t persevere like I did, and walked away."
    ----

    If true, how many other people were wrongly refused their democratic right to vote? ;angry
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