The UK is Out - New PM - and whither now for Article 50

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  • In truth no one can be certain exactly what life will be like for this country outside, simply they don't know with any certainty, whereas we know what it'll be like if we say

    Spot on.

    This is why this whole vote is truly unique. So even someone like Sir Stuart Rose, will in essence only be able to "guess" at what will happen if the UK exits, the same as any ordinary man or woman on the street.

    Every person should ideally try to separate the fact from the spin to come to an informed view one way or another. Sadly in the world of spin and PR we live in, this may be hard to achieve.
  • baracks

    It isn't just spin that is the problem, though, imo.

    There will be an awful lot of people voting who are either uninformed or ill-informed, who nonetheless have the right effectively to determine fiscal policy for decades to come.

    That doesn't seem great, to me.
  • That's true Grey ;ok

    By the way, does anyone know how the vote will work?

    Will they simply add up all the ins and outs for the whole of the U.K? Is that not the only true way of ensuring every single vote counts?
  • edited February 2016
    I can't see travel, business, movement, healthcare etc. being the same out of the EU. Other parts of the world envy things like the free movement of the EU and they hold them back. 100% in, especially after living in parts of the world where the barriers countries put up against each other cause a lot of hassle (to put it lightly).

    I haven't really seen a genuine argument for leaving that isn't based on nonsense from a tabloid.


  • I haven't really seen a genuine argument for leaving that isn't based on nonsense from a tabloid.

    That's the problem - you cannot say if it is nonsense because no-one has experienced this situation or decision before.

    In terms of healthcare, for example, the NHS, one of our national treasures, was around long before we entered the EU
  • edited February 2016
    I mean the reasons for leaving. I don't see a genuine, convincing reason for leaving.

    Yes but healthcare when travelling I think is easier because of the EU. It means it's easy to go work abroad, for example, and not have to worry about your healthcare so much.

    When jobs are low, the EU is a great way for young people to find other opportunities and get skills in the same way many from Europe do when they go to the UK. It isn't hard, I did it (though not inside the EU) and think it should be considered more. Though language-teaching must be given more importance.

    By the way, in terms of trade, the UK doesn't just benefit from trade with the EU itself but also parts of the world that have special trade agreements with the EU as a bloc. There would be an awful lot of trade negotiations to be done.
  • In,

    Simply because i cant trust the Tory's to do a British Bill of Rights in favour of workers. (Sick Pay / Paternity Leave / E.T.C)

    We are in a global economy in or out doesn't matter, if China or USA go down we go down with them.

    Our NHS is dependant on Immigration, a decline in British doctors and nurses and shutting shop will not solve that when they are paid naff all to begin with then introduce a policy where Nurses have to get into debt to become a Nurse instead of a grant. Tory Forced Privitisation.

    Anyone who thinks we will save the 350m or whatever bogus figure is made up is living in a dream world, Tory pockets will be lined and we will end up spending double that to keep businesses in the UK instead of flout off to the EU. We wouldn't be able to get a consensus with the rest of the EU over taxation meaning there will never be any changes in taxation to prevent businesses leaving and companies like Facebook / Google / Amazon / Apple will get a away with paying little to no Tax.


  • imagelost said:

    Out and stay out

    Image. If we were to leave we would never get back in again.
  • edited February 2016



    By the way, does anyone know how the vote will work?

    Will they simply add up all the ins and outs for the whole of the U.K? Is that not the only true way of ensuring every single vote counts?

    They haven't even decided who will be able to vote, yet.


    (Citizens, UK residents, nationals, nationals resident abroad etc)

    As its a referendum, It will by definition (I think) be one person one vote, then add 'em all up.

  • Outcast

    Respect all the points you have raised ;ok

    For a lot of people it will come down to the people's views on how things might be different (or otherwise) on the issues which matter to them most. Which in turn will be different issues from one person to the next.

    Fascinating and nerve-wracking all rolled into one!
  • edited February 2016
    ;ok Barracks

    I think I'd be way more open to the idea if the discourse on leaving was more genuine, rather than driven by scare-mongering like this from IDS today:

    image

    Unfortunately, we have a very skewed press and that is going to damage the debate.

    Those who want to prove we should leave haven't offered an alternative to Cameron's proposal. They don't show how it won't be so bad to leave. They're trying to scare us out of it. Sadly, I have a feeling they'll win.
  • Who else out there thinks, somewhat scarily, that the decision will go wherever Boris decides to nail his colours??
  • edited February 2016
    Well they're putting a lot of focus on it, he's definitely important. Unfortunately, he's probably the most charismatic politician in the UK and best-equipped for this kind of campaign. So you might be right and it really is scary.

    He might even view going for Out and winning as showing he can be better than Cameron...
  • I do have one extremely important question though - if the country votes OUT, do we still get to keep Payet?? ;hmm
  • ;nonono Imagine all the work-permits they'll have to process.
  • On the working abroad question, lets of British people worked abroad before the EU and similarly lots of European worked in Britain.

    On travelling abroad we will have to show our passports at the port of entry to the EU and if Shengen is still in place we won't have to show again until we exit the EU (i.e. back to the UK). So effectively no difference to the traveller.

    On who will get to vote, that's an interesting one, surely it should be British citizens/passport holders.

    I still find it interesting that Nicola Sturgeon doesn't see the irony of wanting to leave the UK in order to gain Independence, but wanting the option for Scotland to join the EU if the UK votes to leave.
  • Dodger58 said:

    On the working abroad question, lets of British people worked abroad before the EU and similarly lots of European worked in Britain.

    True, but it was a lot more hassle, and there were more restrictions/limits.

    Plus, with the EU, aren't there agreements in place with other govts for favourable terms (such as no visas required) which will not apply if UK leaves (Until any new bilateral agreements are established?
    Dodger58 said:

    On travelling abroad we will have to show our passports at the port of entry to the EU and if Shengen is still in place we won't have to show again until we exit the EU (i.e. back to the UK). So effectively no difference to the traveller.

    Is that really the case? I think the 'no internal borders' only applies if you are from one of the member states? I'm not sure of that though.
    Dodger58 said:

    On who will get to vote, that's an interesting one, surely it should be British citizens/passport holders.

    But what if they are living/have lived abroad? Still let them vote?

    And what about people who it will affect because they live there and have permanent leave to remain (or whatever its called) - with homes, businesses and families, paying taxes etc. The decision will affect them just as much - in fairness can you exclude them? (No taxation without representation!!)
  • Some really excellent reasoned arguments in here for both sides.

    But I'm still in.
  • In.
    For me this a no brainer & I don't even know how we got to this stage in the first place.Sure,there are things wrong with the EU & it definitely needs an overhaul but it's in our interests as a nation to remain a member.
    On a personal level it would be a disaster.I live & work in Spain & at present have the choice of where i live & work.If we vote to leave the choice goes.
  • edited February 2016


    & it definitely needs an overhaul

    Which will never happen IMO
  • edited February 2016
    Mrs G,

    Yes it is more hassle, but it is still possible. The reference to the NHS is also interesting as many of the 'immigrants' staffing the NHS are from outside the EU anyway, so no difference at all.

    Schengen calls for free movement within the EU with no border controls. The assumption is that people entering the Schengen area can then move freely - so yes it is the case.

    I believe that ALL British Citizens of voting age should have the right to vote, wherever they live, so yes that includes you ;biggrin
  • But

    That's not the public at large is it.
  • Well if ever I was wavering about my 'in' that has made up my mind.
  • Yes, that was addressed to you comment.

    and neither do I but if Boris likes something I dont.
  • I'm not basing my ultimate decision on whether I like a person or not. I am pretty ;hmm about Nicola Sturgeon for example, however if I believe there is ultimate merit in what she (and others) have to say re: staying in, then that is how I will vote. Same goes for George Galloway and "out"
  • edited February 2016

    baracks

    It isn't just spin that is the problem, though, imo.

    There will be an awful lot of people voting who are either uninformed or ill-informed, who nonetheless have the right effectively to determine fiscal policy for decades to come.

    That doesn't seem great, to me.

    Grey,
    It is every persons responsibility who intends to vote to be as informed as possible as the question and resulting decision are critical to get right. I know that is what I'll be doing as will every poster who has posted on this thread I hope.
    But

    That's not the public at large is it.


    The public at large do not / will not be as informed as possible as the question and resulting decision are critical to get right.
  • edited February 2016
    Can we try out for a couple of years and then come back if it doesn't work out?

    Can we be on a break?

    Some good points made on either side and a very good thread.

    Still definitely IN as out just seems to globally regressive to leave. I tend think in 50 years the EU will still be here as it is too deeply entrenched to fail now, so our children or grandchildren would at some point be likely need apply again, and would do so from a very different position that we have now.
  • It's irrelevant, surely, how well informed or not each person is? - it is a right for them to cast their vote how they see fit based on what they know/understand, no matter how great their understanding may or may not be. That's democracy after all? And about time too in my opinion, that every person had their say on this matter.
  • Absolutely baracks.


    [unless of course you're not voting the same as me ;biggrin ]
This discussion has been closed.