The UK is Out - New PM - and whither now for Article 50

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  • edited October 2016
    Another thing with the EU is for about the 20th year in a row their accounts couldn't be signed off by the auditors due to missing billions of euros in the accounts.
    Someone somewhere must know where the money is going.
  • edited October 2016

    I think it will be easier for us to negotiate new trade deals with the likes of the US etc. As for the EU Germany will be eager to trade with us as will France, Spain and Italy. Don't know about the others as I don't know what we buy or sell to most of them.

    Those specific EU countries you name may be eager to trade, but the EU will negotiate as a block, with any 1 country able to veto a deal? The eagerness of a few may in the end not help, f it only takes 1 EU country to feel that their economic situation would be better if the UK was permanently locked out of the trade deal to put the kibosh on it? So perhaps looking rather iffy in the whole 'EU new trade deal' stakes?
  • edited October 2016
    As far as US deals, etc - yes, with fewer interested parties to have to agree, it will be a smoother process overall. Less like herding cats.

    But that's not to say that the US will give it any kind of priority, or that we'll be negotiating from a position of strength: as a buyer we are a small market compared to the EU. As a seller, we don't have as much stuff to sell as the EU.

    "Thank you for dialling US Trade Deals Ltd. Our special relationship is important to us, but our economic/trade team are busy at the moment. You are being held in a queue. Please hold."

  • Where is pardewalegend when you need some well thought out and reasoned debate?

    ;hmm ;hug
  • Lolololol
  • Where's rav gone?
  • ;hmm


    ;diop ...not in here...
  • I'll go check blockbusters ;run
  • Last seen in the salad bar at Pizza Hut. ;hmm
  • It would be interesting to know what people actually want?
    A future in Europe in my opinion would have meant continued erosion of British values & identity through regulation & immigration.
    A future out of Europe again in my opinion will force the UK to be more self sufficient, the devaluation of the pound will encourage manufacturing & discourage imports.
    Europe's motives are quite clear, tying freedom of movement with free trade shows their hand, fundamentally a European future will be a USE - United States of Europe.
    No more nationalism, look in the mirror & ask yourself why are you proud to be English, Scottish, Irish, Welsh or simply British.
    IMO - The Europeans want to take this from us
  • simonc said:

    It would be interesting to know what people actually want?
    A future in Europe in my opinion would have meant continued erosion of British values & identity through regulation & immigration.
    A future out of Europe again in my opinion will force the UK to be more self sufficient, the devaluation of the pound will encourage manufacturing & discourage imports.
    Europe's motives are quite clear, tying freedom of movement with free trade shows their hand, fundamentally a European future will be a USE - United States of Europe.
    No more nationalism, look in the mirror & ask yourself why are you proud to be English, Scottish, Irish, Welsh or simply British.
    IMO - The Europeans want to take this from us

    In response.

    1. I don't know what 'British values and identity' actually are. Unless it can be defined, beyond being some emotive but essentially meaningless rhetoric, there's no point talking about it.

    2. I'm not proud to be 'English' or 'British'.

    What does that mean. Nothing. I didn't choose either - it was an accident of birth. If I did nothing to 'choose' it, how can I be proud of it?

    Are you proud of the colour of your eyes or hair? That is another thing over which you had no control. Nor does it signify your own efforts, achievements or accomplishments. How can you be proud of something that is an accident?

    I can list dozens of things that the 'English' or 'British' did that are disgusting and shameful.

    Are you proud of those, too? Or do you just want to cherry pick good stuff and ignore the bad stuff?

    I can't be getting on with it, tbh.
  • Thank you Mrs Grey for being honest
  • You are very welcome ;ok
  • I think one of the most shameful things about being British is our continued insistence of only looking for the bad that has been done, we do appear insistent on pulling ourselves back.

    Why is it acceptable to look at the bad things but not to look for the good. As an ex-teacher I am sure you found accentuating the positive has a far more positive effect on encouraging your charges with developing their skills, whether social, sporting or academic.

    Why can we not have pride in our nation(s)? I am certainly proud to be associated (through accident of birth) with the nation that fought to abolish slavery (for example).

    I am also proud that I still have my hair, which is clearly down to genetics and complete fortune - especially as my brothers have both lost most of the hair on their heads ;-)
  • Hopefully future decisions are guided by mistakes of the past, Britain has made its fair share of mistakes but without the likes of both my grandfathers and those of other members families, fighting and sacrificing for our freedoms we would certainly be living a far different life.
    I personally may not have contributed, but i am proud of what my family and other British families contributed.
    We have the rights to have these conversations and the power to change things via the poll booth that many people still strive for.
    I am very proud of my British heritage and feel that it should not be given away so lightly.
  • Dodger58 said:

    I think one of the most shameful things about being British is our continued insistence of only looking for the bad that has been done, we do appear insistent on pulling ourselves back.

    Why is it acceptable to look at the bad things but not to look for the good. As an ex-teacher I am sure you found accentuating the positive has a far more positive effect on encouraging your charges with developing their skills, whether social, sporting or academic.

    Why can we not have pride in our nation(s)? I am certainly proud to be associated (through accident of birth) with the nation that fought to abolish slavery (for example).

    2 completely different issues, imo.

    In terms of how people use the phrase being 'proud to be British' - they don't do it to encourage people to behave in a certain way. It is about congratulating oneself on not being like those other foreign folks, but being much superior. So for me, to focus ONLY on the positive is disingenuous.

    I am fully appreciative of good things that British people have done - eg, the emancipation movement, the battle for equal rights etc. But they didn't do it because it was somehow 'British'. And such struggles were not limited to only British people. So I see no reason to link it to any one nationality. Their nation of birth is accidental. If nationality was somehow a driver/determiner of doing 'good deeds' then there would never have been slavery in Britain in the first place.


    People did (what I see as) a good thing eg, change the law to prevent child labour and exploitation, or instigate universal suffrage, etc (add your own cause to the list) NOT because they were British but because they were 'good' (imo) people.

    As many British people as fought for 'good' causes also oppressed those who did so, and fought against them.

    That isn't imo 'our continued insistence of only looking for the bad that has been done'. It's about a balanced view.

    I can look at both positive and negative. But in the end, I actually don't care. Because, as I have tried to point out above, I played no part in it. I wasn't born.

    Furthermore, it wasn't the sole preserve of people who were born (hundreds of years ago) within the same arbitrary lines drawn on a map as I was. Because France is associated with Equality, Liberty, Fraternity, do they have sole rights to that? No.

    For me, that's why 'national' identity is a meaningless concept.

    I only have my own identity, that I have built for myself through my own actions and choices.

    Finally, anyone who want to embrace the 'national identity,' fair enough. It's not for me, but people make their own choices. I respect their right to do so.


    BUT, if they don't front up to both the good and the bad, then I have no respect for them.
  • And that is the fundamental difference between us. I personally don't believe you 'balanced view' is balanced, as it always appears to accentuate the negative. As you say you don't actually care about things that happened before you were born, but I see that as part of our heritage - the good and the bad. I also don't see why we should continually apologise for the bad actions that preceded our birth (which is the same basis as your not caring about them).

    I agree with your assertion that we all have our own identity and also agree we should recognise the good and the bad in out past (whether personal or national).

    We are from different backgrounds and have different views, that doesn't make either of us right. And that is one of the British attributes I am very proud of, the right to disagree - but hopefully still respect the others' views.
  • So, get negotiating, and deliver this brave new 'out' world that we were told would be achieved. Moaning about how the horrid Europeans are being mean and not sharing their toys is ridiculous. We voted to not share our toys. Its no good now blaming them for not letting us borrow their Tonka Truck for free unless we also willing to take turns tidying up the lego.
    Well maybe if all those who wanted to remain and won't let it go with all their predictions of doom and gloom would shut up for a few weeks and let the people who have to negotiate the exit strategy and planning, get on with it and then take it forwards we would be getting somewhere.

    Instead of which they are constantly demanding answers to questions that would put those negotiations in danger (you don't lay your cards on the table before you bet), then you have the Scottish PM saying she is off to Berlin to hold talks for Scottish trade agreements and assurances with the EU (really? how is that going to work exactly as any must depend on the UK exit talks), and European politicians demanding that London 'Must' give over sections of their lucrative financial business to the Paris and Frankfurt markets - Apart from him (and a couple of other European MP's and the Paris and Frankfurt markets) says who? There is no need for that to happen and I sort of have the feeling that the City will ignore that call and carry on as normal - like they normally do.

    It was made clear by the leave campaign (if you actually cut through all the negative remain and media reporting), that the negotiations would be done to get the best possible deal for the UK - not sure when all this 'Hard Brexit' 'Soft Brexit' started, but in the run up to the vote the EU were definitely playing the hard game and it was coming across as they wanted to make it as hard as possible to dissuade anyone else from leaving.

    There are two clear EU groups on this, on the one hand (the most vocal) they are taking the 'Make it as hard brexit as possible', on the other there are others that see that if it is a 'hard brexit' it could be as damaging, in not more so, to their own economies.

    Your analogy is wrong as well, its not about sharing things. From what I can gather from those who voted to leave (i.e. neighbours and friends), they are perfectly happy to share, providing any sharing agreements are subject to taking into consideration the circumstance of the country, which can be reviewed and revised when the circumstances change. The problem was that the EU made the rules and they had to go along with them, when there was a choice allowed, if the EU did not get the answer it wanted, it would change the rules until it did. They felt disenfranchised, ignored, overlooked and taken advantage of, so this was a chance for their voice to be heard.
  • Well maybe if all those who wanted to remain and won't let it go with all their predictions of doom and gloom would shut up for a few weeks and let the people who have to negotiate the exit strategy and planning, get on with it and then take it forwards we would be getting somewhere.
    Sorry, how is it the fault of those who voted Remain that the pound is in the pan, and the economy is threatening to go the same way? How is it their fault that the EU looks like taking a hard line?

    If the predictions of hard times to come turn out to be wrong, I'll be the first to be delighted in my error.

    My son is 30, and has just become a father. I'd love for both him and my grandson to live in times of economic growth, but I don't think my criticism of the vote to Leave is any kind of reason why the UK isn't 'getting somewhere'.
  • Grey,

    I am not blaming them all per se, only those who think they still have a say (politicians, so called business and finance leaders, media people etc.) in if we stay in or leave. The vote was to leave, the Gov't has said they will leave as per the vote wanted. With all the negativity these people keep coming out with constantly, they are massively adding to the uncertainty that is causing the falls. Unfortunately the Media are fuelling this as they only like to highlight what they see as attention grabbing headlines and sensationalising it, to the extent that it is a foregone conclusion it will happen.

    Yesterday there was a meeting between the PM and the boss of Nissan (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-tyne-37656480) which is on the BBC business pages - where was this on any of the main news channels, I certainly don't recall seeing it. If he had said he was going to stop investment and possibly pull out of the UK, it would have been all over the headlines on every bulletin - balanced reporting, I think not.

    If there were more reporting of this nature or it was given a higher profile, do you not think it might stem or even reverse the falls?
  • AdMeus ;ok
  • But that's not to say that the US will give it any kind of priority, or that we'll be negotiating from a position of strength: as a buyer we are a small market compared to the EU. As a seller, we don't have as much stuff to sell as the EU.
    Well if Donald Trump gets in that will change: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-37594928

    So as much as I would not want him to win, there could be a big benefit there.

    Also, don't forget there will be French and German Elections in the months before article 50 is triggered which could have an effect on the negotiations.
  • It was too long a post to quote but Mrs Grey's response was about as articulate as you could get in my book, the idea that there is something to be proud of about being born in a certain place seems absurd. I see patriotism/nationalism as necessary emotions to be instilled into a populus to ensure it can be manipulated and made to fight. Whenever a nation state wants to build a narrative to go to war you can be sure nationalist rhetoric will begin, as is being ramped up in Russia at present. You have to convince someone they are something before you can set them ideologically against something else. One of the tragedies of war is the effects of this, as many soldiers go to war with the narrative in place but the real effect of taking what turned out to be another human beings life is something different and produces a lot of PTSD. We are not alone but the pattern for war is always the same, nationalism and then turn those who question the call to arms traitors and get patriotic mob mentality to silence them.

    Brexit is in effect a not yet violent civil war, we have those who feel British and want to protect their image of what that is and those that don't and see themselves more globally connected through humanity rather than nationhood. The country is massively divided and Theresa May is using wartime tactics when she accuses MPs who want parliament to be involved of trying to subvert the will of the people, she is making them out to be less British or patriotic for questioning what happened.

    Many feel the referendum was simply about politics, specifically David Cameron attempting to regain control of his own party from a hard right faction by holding a referendum he felt he couldn't lose. The press however seized the opportunity to show who really controls democracy and delivered the result they wanted.

    Such a massive decision should not be about politics, and should not be put to referendum for as we know everyone votes upon what they believe, regardless of it's factual reality, such a decision as to whether it is strategically right for us to leave the EU at this particular time is too big to be about party politics or the man in the street deciding. It needs hard headed informed decision making and nothing else. The only person I have seen act and speak in this way is Mark Carney. I think the man is fantastic, you look at him and you know he is not swayed by emotion, patriotism or what anyone else says, you know he looks at strategy and aim. Unfortunately I have sat down so many times and looked at the position we as a nation were in before the referendum and I cannot see how we end up better off. I would love that we could cherry pick and have control of immigration and retain all the benefits, but I realise it isn't possible. I also recognise that immigration is a problem at present, but no where near the extent where you would sacrifice so much to win control of it. To trade everything else you rely on to build a whole for one small piece makes no sense.

    Sadly the victory may have become more important than the outcome now for brexiters. Petrol going up, inflation rising month on month, job losses may all be tolerated when before they would have been up in arms, because they need to have won, to see us out. Sadly the thing I am most sure of is that if it does all go wrong if our economy free falls like the pound itself, it will be the poorest hit hardest as it always is.

    As for timing you strategically should not trigger before a new French and German govt is elected as you could negotiate with two people who then leave the table and are replaced. it is strategically not prudent or in our interests. But stepping ove rthe line and being able to celebrate a victory which can then not be lost is once again more important to many than coherent strategy.

    As for negotiation itself it's embarrassing, like bluffing a pair of fives. There is one simple fact they cannot lose everything depending on the outcome of these negotiations, they can only lose a little, we can lose almost everything, so who is going to give first? us.

    TM can politically rabble rouse all she likes, she has no where to go strategically with this.

    Apologies for the long post, did not intend it to be but couldn't find my way off the soap box once I stepped on. I hope the politicians will keep debating it as we are as it is the only way.

  • I voted remain but I disagree this issue needed a referendum. It was just unfortunate that a lot of lies and poor journalism of the facts were presented in the media and from politicians.

    I still think we will come out worse than had we stayed and those who thought we would "regain control of our borders" will sadly be disappointed. When it comes down to it, the government will always pick the economy over immigration every single time no matter the trade off.

    By the end of the negotiations we could be sitting outside the EU in the single market with freedom of movement but no seat at the table and being dictated to, those bank laws we vetoed against to keep the City of London Financial services the centre point, we will not have a say in that what so ever next time around for example, Europe can easily drain the City of London Financial services bit by bit.

    Too many people think the UK is a power house to throw its weight around sadly I think people overestimate the UK's power its virtually nothing without its allies and when it comes to it a lot of people will be asking the question "Why did we even bother in the first place."
  • If it is such a bad thing, why don't the government and parliament just not invoke article 50? It's not like the government haven't done a u-turn before. Let's just pretend we never had a referendum and go back to what it was like before?
  • The EU probably won't exist in a decade or so as if it's that good why are most of the countries in it bankrupt
  • edited October 2016
    C&B Sky, a perfect opening paragraph denouncing patriotism, militarism, jingoism, nationalism, and the nation state. I nearly clicked agree, in fact I probably still will. Unfortunately (for me) you then go on to question "the man in the streets" ability to make judgements about "complex" issues and that these judgements should be made and left to unelected experts (such as Mark Carney) and the very defenders of the nation state namely governments and the chinless wonders that represent them, namely politicians. And which of these politicians will be good enough to make these "calls" that effect us all; the sexual deviant ones, the ones that fiddle their expenses, the "cash for questions" ones, the public school chaps, etc etc etc.
    So the very people that create this toxic mix of nationalism and patriotism, the very people that manufacture war and oversee the slaughter of thousands of people, are the ONLY people that we trust our very lives and futures to? Seems an odd conclusion to me.

    I see myself connected to the whole of humanity, I have confidence in the ability of the whole of humanity, not just the chosen (questionable) few. The EU is becoming a Super Nation State, why else would it need to create a European army, the very hallmark of a recognised nation state, the very defenders of a nation state.
    People voted out because there is a HUGE disconnect between political aspirations and what people "on the street" actually want and need. The further away decisions are made that affect peoples day to day lives the more alienated, the more disconnected, the less in control people feel. Given the opportunity people have decided to give the establishment a kicking. The nameless, faceless men in Brussels are just that to the average Joe in The Rhondda Valley, nameless and faceless, (and probably clueless). Surely it makes sense that decisions that effect local people are made (as far as possible) locally. The Brexit vote (IMO) is a small step to taking back control, not of borders, not of immigration, not of the shape of our fruit, but of our lives, where we live.

    The Brexit vote was a huge shock for the establishment, which is why it`s causing such a rumpus. I know who I trust more with the future of humanity, and it`s not (as claretandblue so eloquently described) the warmongers who represent the nation state.
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