I'm just planning for the possibility of us losing to Spurs and Liverpool. Leaving us on 39 from 37. We finish with Burnley. Burnley could still be in it, although unlikely given their next two games are WBA and Bournemouth.
Hull, given their run in, could easily be on 38 from 37. Maybe even 40 if they beat Palace after Sunderland. They finish with Spurs at home.
Swansea could be on 37 from 37. Needing a win at home to WBA to have a chance of survival.
Palace could be on 38/39 from 37 but with a better GD than us.
We won these 3 games last season, haven't lost in 4 when posters were saying we wouldn't get another point this season, have back to back clean sheets and there is still negativity.
Not negativity at all. I even said it was a good point yesterday on the thread. Other than throwing away 2 points at the most inept side in the league we have done well over the last month.
Saying 'still not safe' isn't negative. It's fact.
I've had two occasions where I have wondered where we would get another point from, based on the performance (or more accurately, lack of performance) that I saw.
Swans on 32 are 7 behind us with 3 to play, and a -14 GD, so effectively they need 8 from 9, whcih means they have to win their last 3 games. assuming we were to take no more points, which is much less likely than a couple of weeks ago.
We may well even get a result v Spurs because after today's Chelsea result, they will know their goose is cooked and once again their brilliant best has been shown to be not enough
But if Hull beat Palace that would mean that Palace need to get points off the Manchester games. I am confident we are safe and pretty annoyed that Leicester made it.
I just don't think it is impossible that we could go down. It's the next two that scare me.
Make no mistake that two 0-1 (which wouldn't be bad results tbf) defeats could well see us needing something at Burnley to avoid the drop.
I'm confident we won't lose 3/3, but I won't discount the possibility of relegation. I don't feel safe yet.
Swansea's next game is huge for us. Anything but a win for them and we're safe. But if they get 3 points against Everton (their last six home form is won 4, drew 1 and lost 1), we are back in the scrap well and truly given their final two games. I mean you've only got to look at Everton's last two performances and general away form (4 wins all season) to be slightly nervous.
And, unfortunately, both Hull and Swansea have Sunderland to play in their last three. The way they've been this season you may as well add 3 points to both their totals.
Assuming we don't get anything against Spurs the day before. But even a draw and a loss leaves us struggling should Swansea do the business against the Toffees.
Irrespective of whether his match threads are a work of art (which they are) Baz should stay on as he holds the honour of being the only one to find a way to stop lukaku scoring against us
I shall be making my annual bet on the first relegated team from the PL to win their next match. I am up substantially over the years (but never kept records, so that's an impression) But I shall be putting 20 knicker on it this week. Last I looked it was 5/1
Thank you so much for the kind words, they're really appreciated! After a recent car collision (he ran a red light and I had a motorcycle cop as a witness driving behind me) I've found it hard to switch off (more than normal) and sleep. So I admit the match threads have been mentally challenging (in a good way) in terms of what to write etc. But I've enjoyed doing it so I am glad they have been positively received.
If anyone else wants to do a thread then of course please feel free. I usually start thinking of composing mine after the late game on Saturdays. So a quick email to me or mention on the current match thread for that week (in terms of saying you'll do it) would be nice so I don't start one ;biggrin ;thumbsup
Irrespective of whether his match threads are a work of art (which they are) Baz should stay on as he holds the honour of being the only one to find a way to stop lukaku scoring against us
The secret was to put him as my Fantasy Captain for that game and at the very last minute take it away from him. He was so irritated with me that he couldnt focus the whole game! Oh and our defence had a little bit to do with it as well ;wink
Comments
Hull, given their run in, could easily be on 38 from 37. Maybe even 40 if they beat Palace after Sunderland. They finish with Spurs at home.
Swansea could be on 37 from 37. Needing a win at home to WBA to have a chance of survival.
Palace could be on 38/39 from 37 but with a better GD than us.
Just hope Slaven doesn't drag us into it on the final weekend due to his cautiousness over the last two weeks.
I give up.
;angry
Saying 'still not safe' isn't negative. It's fact.
You can only call it as you see it, can't you?
I've had two occasions where I have wondered where we would get another point from, based on the performance (or more accurately, lack of performance) that I saw.
Not sure that is overly negative.
If we were playing Watford and WBA at home instead, I would not have posted above.
with the GD differential with Swansea that would almost certainly do it, unless they can get back -14GD in 3 games.
That said, I agree, we aren't anywhere near going down now.
Swansea have Everton at home so again not straightforward.
Calm down, calm down.
Make no mistake that two 0-1 (which wouldn't be bad results tbf) defeats could well see us needing something at Burnley to avoid the drop.
I'm confident we won't lose 3/3, but I won't discount the possibility of relegation. I don't feel safe yet.
Swansea's next game is huge for us. Anything but a win for them and we're safe. But if they get 3 points against Everton (their last six home form is won 4, drew 1 and lost 1), we are back in the scrap well and truly given their final two games. I mean you've only got to look at Everton's last two performances and general away form (4 wins all season) to be slightly nervous.
And, unfortunately, both Hull and Swansea have Sunderland to play in their last three. The way they've been this season you may as well add 3 points to both their totals.
Assuming we don't get anything against Spurs the day before. But even a draw and a loss leaves us struggling should Swansea do the business against the Toffees.
So hopefully not ;lol
We may ask you to stay on regardless, unless someone else is strongly minded to start one.
You enjoy it, and so do we, so what's not to like?
With three games left we're 15th with 39pts and Swansea in 18th on 32pts
Funny old game, football......
If anyone else wants to do a thread then of course please feel free. I usually start thinking of composing mine after the late game on Saturdays. So a quick email to me or mention on the current match thread for that week (in terms of saying you'll do it) would be nice so I don't start one ;biggrin ;thumbsup