Brexit: the next stage. Deal or No Deal? (and the General Election)

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Comments

  • Death Star spokesman looks awkward despite call for strong and stable leadership. #StarWarsDay.


    IMG_0254
  • Now thats what I call a real Brexiteer. ;whistle
  • MrsGrey said:

    You say pedantic. I say accurate.




    You say those who didn't vote 'couldn't be bothered'. Have you got any actual information on why they didn't vote?

    If not, you should probably (but obviously its your choice) stop ascribing to the non-voters motives which you have made up.


    The only actual info from a local source (local paper posted through the door) I can refer to is a poll they did of people who admitted they did not vote, the main reason given (for both sides, but not the only reason) was they believed remain was going to win (which everybody and his dog was predicting). So those who would have voted remain did not as they thought remain would win without their vote (so could not be bothered) but in the same vein those who would have voted to leave did not as they believe remain would win so there was no point (so equally could not be bothered). Other reasons were that people had not registered to vote, some intended to but circumstances on the day prevented it (illness, vehicle problems, traffic problems etc.) Interestingly, for those who responded to the poll, more than half (58 - 42%) would have voted leave. As this is a local free paper, I cannot provide you with a link as they don't have web pages, so if you choose not to believe me that is your choice.

    On another note, we had some local elections today. The only party to provide any information in the run up about their candidates was the Tories, on going to vote I was sorely disappointed at the choice. I normally pick an independent as I find they do actually try to represent the people who vote for them and provide more feedback and don't vote along party lines. We had three choices; Lid Dems, Greens or Conservative - no Labour, no independents or any other party, so far from voter apathy this is evidence of party apathy, it seems like some parties have willingly given up trying to win votes because they do not do so well in some areas and are leaving it up to others.

    So anyone who did not want to vote for any of the three parties in our area has been denied a vote by these sections of the political establishment, I think it is outrageous they are allowed to get away with this and effectively force people to vote for someone they don't want to vote for (forcing a protest vote). As it happened I did not vote as I don't want either the Greens or Lib Dem's anywhere near running my local council, but at the same time could not endorse the Conservatives running it with the plans they have, hence a preference for an independent.
  • BBB,

    The MOD is a Gov't department run by Civil Servants, not the Gov't. They have to be seen as apolitical as they have to work with all parties whoever is in power. They agree their equipment needs then go to the Gov't to get the funding. The fact the MOD has 'committed' itself does not at this time necessarily mean the Gov't has also, it may be a way of trying to force the Gov'ts hand to prevent further spending cuts.
  • Ad - government departments do not act independently, any commitment of that scale would have to have been approved by the Defence Secretary Michael Fallon who would have certainly had a word with the PM and the Chancellor
  • I wonder how much damage Diane Abbott's performance the other day has cost Labour. ;hmm
  • edited May 2017

    So anyone who did not want to vote for any of the three parties in our area has been denied a vote by these sections of the political establishment, I think it is outrageous they are allowed to get away with this and effectively force people to vote for someone they don't want to vote for (forcing a protest vote).

    But Adme this is no different from your earlier statement regarding Remainers who didn't vote because they thought Remain would win. Here you didn't vote because no one put themselves forward as an Independent, surely something you could have done yourself if you felt so strongly? Why would you vote for someone who has been forced onto the ballot?
  • edited May 2017
    There are lots of parties who don't field a candidate in every constituency. Now and in the past. I think your arguing voters in those constituencies are being denied a vote as a result( because the party they want to vote for isn't standing) unconvincing. imo.


    When did I last have a Socialist candidate to vote for? ;weep
  • Conservatives winning local elections
  • Surprise surprise!
  • BBB,

    The MOD is a Gov't department run by Civil Servants, not the Gov't. They have to be seen as apolitical as they have to work with all parties whoever is in power.

    This is true, as far as it goes. Which isn't far enough.

    Yes they are required to be apolitical. As in, not play party politics.

    They are, however, a government department.They are not autonomous, but work to the policy priorities of the government of the day.
  • edited May 2017




    The only actual info from a local source (local paper posted through the door) I can refer to is a poll they did of people who admitted they did not vote, the main reason given (for both sides, but not the only reason) was they believed remain was going to win (which everybody and his dog was predicting). So those who would have voted remain did not as they thought remain would win without their vote (so could not be bothered) but in the same vein those who would have voted to leave did not as they believe remain would win so there was no point (so equally could not be bothered). Other reasons were that people had not registered to vote, some intended to but circumstances on the day prevented it (illness, vehicle problems, traffic problems etc.) Interestingly, for those who responded to the poll, more than half (58 - 42%) would have voted leave. As this is a local free paper, I cannot provide you with a link as they don't have web pages, so if you choose not to believe me that is your choice.

    I have no reason not to believe you - I am sure you are reporting what you saw in your local paper. (The results of a limited, self-selecting poll in just one part of the UK, possibly but not necessarily done by a reputable polling company to the proper standards.) But it's hardly conclusive proof of your original claim.

    ... so far from voter apathy this is evidence of party apathy, it seems like some parties have willingly given up trying to win votes because they do not do so well in some areas and are leaving it up to others.

    Making a decision like that isn't (to me) necessarily apathy. As you say, they might have decided to deploy their limited resources elsewhere for more effect. Or formed an informal progressive alliance.
  • BBB,

    The MOD is a Gov't department run by Civil Servants, not the Gov't. They have to be seen as apolitical as they have to work with all parties whoever is in power. They agree their equipment needs then go to the Gov't to get the funding. The fact the MOD has 'committed' itself does not at this time necessarily mean the Gov't has also, it may be a way of trying to force the Gov'ts hand to prevent further spending cuts.

    AD

    Sorry came to this later than some other posters.
    My reply to your comment is simply this:
    Michael Fallon is the Defence secretary, in charge of a department being criticised by the Public Accounts Committee.
    Either he knew about the projected funding shortfall, and did nothing about it = Incompetent,
    or he didnt know about it and let the figures come out = Incompetent.

    Either way, the two ministers I mentioned dodged criticism by having news buried on the last day of parliament. My point was about media manipulation of news.
    The people I am actually meeting on the doorstep are often incredulous about some of the things I am telling them, and some have accused me of 'making stuff up'.
    The level of knowledge of pretty basic economic and political reality in the UK today is abysmal. An in out referendum choice should NEVER have been mooted In my opinion, as the subject matter is too complex for leading politicians to deal with, let alone the rank and file voter.
    And before anybody from the Brexit side gets the hump with my views, I am actually doing the Vox pop every time I go out canvassing. The majority of people I am talking to do not have a clue, and are EXTREMELY influenced by the tory press.

    I have people telling me that Immigrants are flooding our country, who live in villages where somebody from Devon is viewed with suspicion ! ;doh
  • I think that's the crux of the matter BBB, the issue is incredibly complex and the possible implications on both leaving and staying are massive and will alter the whole course of the UK for years to come.

    For me it should have been a lesson for the politicians in playing politics with the national interest, but instead of learning that lesson May has gone for more game playing rather than less. The public have been mislead in believing we can retain benefits and regain control (cherry picking). Our arrogance really does need rewarding in my view.

    If looking at the situation pragmatically there is a common sense approach which May is trying to make more difficult by the day through being entirely unprofessional, and Davies has now joined in by suggesting the UK is being bullied because we are not being deferred to and our weakness is being called out. However if we can build a healthy relationship at the start of these negotiations the first deal should be to work out how big our commitments are to the EU budgets which will be this big bill we hear about. If for example this stretches to 2022 we should then agree that we will remain in the EU until then and continue paying our obligations whilst using the time to facilitate an orderly withdrawal. We should be able to have thrashed out a trade deal during this time, prevented the EU budget being underfunded and for all involved the shock to the system will be less.

    The sticking point is this almost arbitrary two year issue of article 50, so in my view the first thing is agree a more realistic term and have the 27 vote and agree on this and then get to work sensibly.

    As for May she needs drop her belief that keeping the right wing press onside should be her top priority, she needs speak to us properly and the EU properly. It's not weak to speak to the nation about how complex the issue is and manage expectation reasonably, it's leadership.
  • IronHerb said:


    So anyone who did not want to vote for any of the three parties in our area has been denied a vote by these sections of the political establishment, I think it is outrageous they are allowed to get away with this and effectively force people to vote for someone they don't want to vote for (forcing a protest vote).

    But Adme this is no different from your earlier statement regarding Remainers who didn't vote because they thought Remain would win. Here you didn't vote because no one put themselves forward as an Independent, surely something you could have done yourself if you felt so strongly? Why would you vote for someone who has been forced onto the ballot?



    IH - No its not - there was a choice they could have voted for if they had gone to vote, whereas I went to vote and there was no one for me to vote for. There was very little information around from any of the parties (apart form the Conservatives who did a leaflet drop), I only found out there were only the three when I got the ballot paper, otherwise I would have been asking questions long before the vote.

    So who should I have voted for then Mrs G? I don't believe in protest voting, you should always vote for whoever represents your views closest - in this case it was none of the above. For me this is one of the current problems in politics that needs to be stopped, to have an agreement with another party to not field a candidate in the hope the other parties candidate gets enough to stop someone else being voted in is wrong and tantermount to vote rigging, particularly the big parties. I accept that smaller ones don't have the reasources and might only target seats they have a chance in, but the bigger ones (paticularly Labour/Lib Dems)?

    What is progressive about not giving people a choice and trying to fix a vote?
  • BBB,

    I have people telling me that Immigrants are flooding our country, who live in villages where somebody from Devon is viewed with suspicion !
    That's a bit of a reverse, I know people who have lived in Devon or Cornwall for over 15 years who are still considered outsiders and one who has lived in Wales for nearly 20 and still refered to in the village as the "Visiting English Family".
  • edited May 2017

    On another note, we had some local elections today. The only party to provide any information in the run up about their candidates was the Tories, on going to vote I was sorely disappointed at the choice. I normally pick an independent as I find they do actually try to represent the people who vote for them and provide more feedback and don't vote along party lines. We had three choices; Lid Dems, Greens or Conservative - no Labour, no independents or any other party, so far from voter apathy this is evidence of party apathy, it seems like some parties have willingly given up trying to win votes because they do not do so well in some areas and are leaving it up to others

    Its more likely that there wasn't a Labour party member living in your ward/district/parish who wanted to stand for councillor and they couldn't find someone from elsewhere who wanted to cover an area they didn't live in. Ditto with an independent, you can't force people to stand if they don't want to.

    Being a councillor is a lot of work, its not just turning up for council meetings once a week and holding "surgery" sessions once a month. I used to know a Liberal councillor in Redbridge back in the 80s (before they became Lib Dems), after he was elected I hardly saw him as when he wasn't working his day job he was busy with council business.
  • edited June 2017
    The long-running saga of dodgy goings-on in the 2015 election has inched forward another step.

    Criminal charges have been brought against the Tory MP for Thanet South, his election agent and a party organiser.

    (The trial is scheduled for July, after the election. Goodness knows what the ramifications will be if he gets re-elected, and is subsequently found guilty.)

    http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-kent-40129826
  • To add spice - this is the guy who beat Farage ;biggrin

    On a serious note - the tories have got form on this, using national spend to boost local campaign finances ( not allowed !), and hoping nobody will check the hotel bills, invoices for travel etc.
    There are a few other constituencies affected.

    BTW - the doorstep is VERY positive for Labour ATM. The Conservatives are getting bigger individual campaign donations, but we are getting loads of small ones. Hope this will be borne out by turn out on the day. I'll be glad when its over - my knees are shot.

    Please use your vote fellow 606 ers - whoever you support. ;ok
  • BBB,
    From what I can see the polls are turning in favour of Labour as I always thought they would. The Labour parties campaign is on the march and the mood in the camp is confident compared to the Conservatives who over Social Care & School meals really seemed to have shot themselves in the foot. I predict Corbyn & Labour will win next Thursday, quite a turn around from their postition a few weeks back.
  • I think it will anything could happen in that Labour could win and The Tories could also get a landslide. Me fear is the Labour and Lib Dem vote getting too split where as the Tories will capture the UKIP vote easily. Were I a betting man my money would be on a tory victory with either a slim majority as it has at present or a hung parliament with them winning most seats but just shy of a majority.

    I walked past the newspapers ( I use the term broadly ) and all right wing papers were really rattled as they were going for the jugular of Corbyn with their usual lies.

    The state of political discussion is terrible and I can only feel it leaves us currently in political mess we are. The papers are biased beyond acceptability in which opinion is presented as fact and facts are false. The biggest interrogators are Paxman and Andrew Neil who both looked ridiculous this week, lacking the ability to interrogate with intelligence and subtlety.

    As for my hopes....... anyone but May.

    In my view she has been found out, cannot tolerate being questioned, panics under pressure and even if she wins she has been exposed to even her own party.

  • Can't see anything other than a Tory win. Sadly.
  • edited June 2017
    MrsGrey said:

    Can't see anything other than a Tory win. Sadly.

    I think you are so wrong on this MrsGrey. Look st where Labour where at the start of this campaign, a seemingly huge lead for the Conservatives. Labour have turned this around big time and their campaign is now confident and assured, they know they are going to win, just believe ;biggrin
  • I'd love to hope so.

    But like my dreams ...
  • I love your optimism Laura and I share it.
    It's been a real rollercoaster ride for the last few weeks. I'm just really pleased that the media tactics are starting to be seen for what they really are and people are now starting to debate policy.
    Nevertheless, I'm a realist- the most I am hoping for is a hung parliament, but it is good for my political soul to get a positive response to our policies rather than concentrating on personalities.its great to see the 'Strong and Stable ' approach blow up in May's face. I wouldn't trust that lot to negotiate on our behalf in a million years.
    Two more days of door knocking to go, then I'm going to become a spectator like everyone else ;cider
  • edited June 2017
    If this is true, it's disgraceful.

    Tories 'fake' (by editing) a series of statements they say Corbyn made. And in fact they are contrary to what he actually said.

    Then, because party political broadcasts etc are regulated by Ofcom, which would outlaw this sort of thing, they don't put it out via mainstream broadcasters. Oh no. They put it out via Facebook, which is unregulated. And doesn't care if an ad is just a lie. So basically, the Tory campaign has made up some lies, and then put them out in a way that will escape scrutiny (because they know they are lies, but know that if it's 'on Facebook', a whole bunch of people will accept it as fact without engaging their critical faculties or checking it against other sources). ;angry ;angry ;angry

    How insulting is that, to Tory voters?????

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jun/02/labour-accuses-tories-of-fake-news-over-video-of-corbyn-ira-comments

  • bbb

    Kudos to you for making the effort to be active in this. ;bowdown
  • They need learn from the brexit bus and just say what people want to hear as it gets the result. Next week is not about detailed arguments just keep saying upon every platform that if you vote for us from this year your children will have no tuition fee's, NHS will be funded immediately, education will be funded immediately, we will not allow a tory dementia tax. What was learnt from the referendum is subtlety and debate doesn't win, short sharp bites of what the voter wants to hear does. The voter is not complex and relies on headlines and a general tone rather than extensive weighing and measuring of information.

    I cant help notice that the tories have suddenly began to speak of the difficult times ahead due to leaving the EU and how the economy has to be placed at the forefront of policy. I thought this leaving the EU was not perilous at all, but instead a brilliant opportunity. It seems now almost taken as fact that we will all be worse off and need tighten our belts. No one seems to think we will be better off now and even resigned to needing immigration levels to remain high just to function.

    Unfortunately I think we get the future we as a nation deserve.
  • You know the lib Dems become more attractive to me....

    I thought the leader did well in the TV debate, their policies are in line with my own.

    If I was aloud to vote I think it maybe yellow is colour....
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